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Why Uranium Prices Will Keep Rising Over the Next Decade

Uranium’s third bull market since 1968 still has a long way to go.

After a decade in a slump, uranium prices are on the rise, fueled by a global shift in support for nuclear energy and subsequent rising demand. 

The challenge of Climate Change and the energy transition to cleaner, greener energy sources has meant governments are looking urgently for alternatives to fossil fuels. The concern with wind, solar and hydro is that they cannot provide power when the wind doesn’t blow, sun doesn’t shine or water levels are low. 

Governments are increasingly turning to nuclear to provide reliable baseload power.

And, after Russia’s invasion of Ukraine and the weaponization of natural gas supplies from Russia into Europe, energy security has risen to the top of government’s priorities, especially in the West. 

Nuclear energy promises a secure, stable source of energy, and significant reserves lie in stable jurisdictions such as Canada’s Athabasca Basin.

Energy security and environmental concerns are influencing government policy and investor sentiment. Government policy decisions in recent years have begun to translate into new nuclear reactor announcements, construction, life extensions, and the cancellation of some closures. 

Nuclear power is gaining popularity in the United States, the European Union, and others. In Japan, for example, the government has  adopted a nuclear policy in December that will greatly accelerate the restart of much of the country’s nuclear fleet, prolong the working life of aging reactors beyond the present 60-year limit, and develop new ones. This is policy is now supported by the majority of the Japanese population in a direct reversal of the last ten years of public sentiment.

As nuclear power gains traction, so too have uranium prices risen since 2021. And, perhaps more critically, utilities are now returning to long-term contracting.

The problem is supply is struggling to keep up after a decade of under-investment due to low prices.

Uranium supplies remain limited, and additional price increases are both needed and expected before new supply can be incentivized. 

Indeed, Sprott Asset Management CEO’s John Ciampaglia believes there will be a supply shortage in the uranium space unless metal prices get to the $75 to $100 pound range. He said during an interview that the Sprott Physical Uranium Trust has exceeded the company’s “wildest expectations.”

The Oregon Group, a well connected, up and coming investment research group, just launched an intriguing video about the nuclear renaissance taking place and the possibilities it offers the uranium sector. The video, titled “The Nuclear Renaissance” features experts from nuclear power utilities, uranium producers, and developers, as well as the CEO of The Oregon Group. Anthony Milewski, a consultant, founder, and investor in the mining business.

“We are at a critical moment in global energy supply and in particular, an energy balance that’s shifting away from coal, to a moment where we are going to have a base load shift to something greener, something different, something that we’ve had for years but haven’t utilized,” explains Milewski.

Welcome to the Second Atomic Era

As governments and consumers transition away from fossil fuels, the globe is facing a critical juncture in global energy supply. Renewables are part of the solution, but without nuclear power, there is no way to get net zero. And uranium is required for nuclear energy.

The video explores some of the key factors that have contributed to the uranium surge, such as energy security, small modular reactors (SMRs), and rising uranium demand vs tight supply.

Ross McElroy, CEO of Fission Uranium, says the reason there’s so few advanced uranium projects is because the industry spent almost a decade in a real slump. Right from the early part of 2011 until the fall of 2020, the price of the commodity was very low, much lower than the cost needed to spur on new development.

Fission Uranium Corp is one of the few uranium developers with an advanced uranium play. It that owns the PLS project in Canada’s Athabasca Basin, which comprises a proproposed high-grade uranium mine and mill and has the potential to become one of the lowest operational cost uranium producers in the world.

Phil Williams, President and CEO of Consolidated Uranium says the reason there are so few advanced projects is that it takes time to build a uranium mine. Therefore, miners will be unable to bring new streams of production online as quickly as demand requires. This will have a major impact on the ability of the supply side to meet the demand forecast, potentially leading to drastically higher prices.

Consolidated Uranium Inc is a near-term uranium producer in Utah and Colorado with licensed, past-producing conventional uranium and vanadium mines. 

Rising uranium prices have given rise to a slew of new uranium companies, including ETFs, explorers, developers, and near-term producers. With consensus pointing to long-term growth, a fresh wave of investment is gathering.

According to The Oregon Group, the big net increase in worldwide nuclear reactors that use uranium as fuel will benefit the uranium market.

“I think the uranium market is in the best position it’s ever been in right now” commented Phil Williams, President and CEO of Consolidated Uranium.

“This is really a moment where technology has advanced, where practice around mining advanced, and there’s a real opportunity here to shift away from carbon intensive energy production to something much cleaner and safer,” added Milewski.

Looking for more information on the uranium industry? Watch The Oregon Group’s video here: The Nuclear Renaissance or read the uranium report here: The Start of the Uranium Bull Market and the Coming of the Second Atomic Age.

Featured Image Depositphotos @ Andreus


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