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Q4 Earnings Outperformers: Toll Brothers (NYSE:TOL) And The Rest Of The Home Builders Stocks

TOL Cover Image

Quarterly earnings results are a good time to check in on a company’s progress, especially compared to its peers in the same sector. Today we are looking at Toll Brothers (NYSE: TOL) and the best and worst performers in the home builders industry.

Traditionally, homebuilders have built competitive advantages with economies of scale that lead to advantaged purchasing and brand recognition among consumers. Aesthetic trends have always been important in the space, but more recently, energy efficiency and conservation are driving innovation. However, these companies are still at the whim of the macro, specifically interest rates that heavily impact new and existing home sales. In fact, homebuilders are one of the most cyclical subsectors within industrials.

The 13 home builders stocks we track reported a mixed Q4. As a group, revenues beat analysts’ consensus estimates by 3.6%.

While some home builders stocks have fared somewhat better than others, they have collectively declined. On average, share prices are down 4.1% since the latest earnings results.

Toll Brothers (NYSE: TOL)

Started by two brothers who started by building and selling just one home in Pennsylvania, today Toll Brothers (NYSE: TOL) is a luxury homebuilder across the United States.

Toll Brothers reported revenues of $2.15 billion, up 15.4% year on year. This print exceeded analysts’ expectations by 15.7%. Despite the top-line beat, it was still a mixed quarter for the company with a solid beat of analysts’ revenue estimates but a significant miss of analysts’ EBITDA estimates.

Douglas C. Yearley, Jr., chairman and chief executive officer, stated: “We are pleased with our first quarter results, as we met or exceeded guidance across nearly all metrics. We delivered 1,899 homes at an average price of $977,000, generating home sales revenues of $1.85 billion. Our adjusted gross margin was 26.5% in the quarter, 25 basis points better than guidance, and our SG&A expense, as a percentage of homebuilding revenues, was 13.9%, 30 basis points better than guidance. As a result, we earned $2.19 per diluted share in the quarter, a 25% increase compared to the first quarter of fiscal 2025. In addition, we signed 2,303 net contracts for $2.4 billion in the quarter, flat in units but up 3% in dollars year-over-year as our average sales price increased to $1,033,000.

Toll Brothers Total Revenue

Toll Brothers scored the biggest analyst estimates beat and fastest revenue growth of the whole group. Still, the market seems discontent with the results. The stock is down 7.2% since reporting and currently trades at $151.32.

Is now the time to buy Toll Brothers? Access our full analysis of the earnings results here, it’s free.

Best Q4: Taylor Morrison Home (NYSE: TMHC)

Named “America’s Most Trusted Home Builder” in 2019, Taylor Morrison Home (NYSE: TMHC) builds single family homes and communities across the United States.

Taylor Morrison Home reported revenues of $2.1 billion, down 10.9% year on year, outperforming analysts’ expectations by 7.2%. The business had a stunning quarter with an impressive beat of analysts’ EBITDA estimates and a solid beat of analysts’ adjusted operating income estimates.

Taylor Morrison Home Total Revenue

Although it had a fine quarter compared its peers, the market seems unhappy with the results as the stock is down 7.2% since reporting. It currently trades at $61.63.

Is now the time to buy Taylor Morrison Home? Access our full analysis of the earnings results here, it’s free.

Weakest Q4: Meritage Homes (NYSE: MTH)

Originally founded in 1985 in Arizona as Monterey Homes, Meritage Homes (NYSE: MTH) is a homebuilder specializing in designing and constructing energy-efficient and single-family homes in the US.

Meritage Homes reported revenues of $1.44 billion, down 11.5% year on year, falling short of analysts’ expectations by 3.8%. It was a disappointing quarter as it posted a significant miss of analysts’ revenue estimates and a significant miss of analysts’ adjusted operating income estimates.

Meritage Homes delivered the weakest performance against analyst estimates in the group. The stock is flat since the results and currently trades at $69.01.

Read our full analysis of Meritage Homes’s results here.

Tri Pointe Homes (NYSE: TPH)

Established in 2009 in California, Tri Pointe Homes (NYSE: TPH) is a United States homebuilder recognized for its innovative and sustainable approach to creating premium, life-enhancing homes.

Tri Pointe Homes reported revenues of $972.6 million, down 22.4% year on year. This result topped analysts’ expectations by 3.6%. Zooming out, it was a mixed quarter as it also recorded a solid beat of analysts’ revenue estimates but a significant miss of analysts’ adjusted operating income estimates.

Tri Pointe Homes had the slowest revenue growth among its peers. The stock is flat since reporting and currently trades at $46.36.

Read our full, actionable report on Tri Pointe Homes here, it’s free.

KB Home (NYSE: KBH)

The first homebuilder to be listed on the NYSE, KB Home (NYSE: KB) is a homebuilding company targeting the first-time home buyer and move-up buyer markets.

KB Home reported revenues of $1.69 billion, down 15.3% year on year. This print beat analysts’ expectations by 2.3%. Zooming out, it was a slower quarter as it produced a significant miss of analysts’ adjusted operating income estimates and a significant miss of analysts’ EBITDA estimates.

The stock is down 6.8% since reporting and currently trades at $58.49.

Read our full, actionable report on KB Home here, it’s free.

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StockStory’s analyst team — all seasoned professional investors — uses quantitative analysis and automation to deliver market-beating insights faster and with higher quality.

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