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Keysight (NYSE:KEYS) Reports Upbeat Q4 CY2025, Stock Jumps 13.9%

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Electronic measurement provider Keysight (NYSE: KEYS) reported Q4 CY2025 results topping the market’s revenue expectations, with sales up 23.3% year on year to $1.6 billion. On top of that, next quarter’s revenue guidance ($1.7 billion at the midpoint) was surprisingly good and 13.1% above what analysts were expecting. Its non-GAAP profit of $2.17 per share was 8.8% above analysts’ consensus estimates.

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Keysight (KEYS) Q4 CY2025 Highlights:

  • Revenue: $1.6 billion vs analyst estimates of $1.54 billion (23.3% year-on-year growth, 3.9% beat)
  • Adjusted EPS: $2.17 vs analyst estimates of $2.00 (8.8% beat)
  • Revenue Guidance for Q1 CY2026 is $1.7 billion at the midpoint, above analyst estimates of $1.50 billion
  • Adjusted EPS guidance for Q1 CY2026 is $2.30 at the midpoint, above analyst estimates of $1.91
  • Operating Margin: 15.5%, down from 16.8% in the same quarter last year
  • Free Cash Flow Margin: 25.4%, down from 26.7% in the same quarter last year
  • Market Capitalization: $41.77 billion

Company Overview

Spun off from Hewlett-Packard in 2014, Keysight (NYSE: KEYS) offers electronic measurement products for use in various sectors.

Revenue Growth

A company’s long-term sales performance can indicate its overall quality. Even a bad business can shine for one or two quarters, but a top-tier one grows for years. Regrettably, Keysight’s sales grew at a tepid 5.7% compounded annual growth rate over the last five years. This fell short of our benchmark for the industrials sector and is a rough starting point for our analysis.

Keysight Quarterly Revenue

Long-term growth is the most important, but within industrials, a half-decade historical view may miss new industry trends or demand cycles. Keysight’s recent performance shows its demand has slowed as its annualized revenue growth of 3.1% over the last two years was below its five-year trend. We’re wary when companies in the sector see decelerations in revenue growth, as it could signal changing consumer tastes aided by low switching costs. Keysight Year-On-Year Revenue Growth

This quarter, Keysight reported robust year-on-year revenue growth of 23.3%, and its $1.6 billion of revenue topped Wall Street estimates by 3.9%. Company management is currently guiding for a 30.2% year-on-year increase in sales next quarter.

Looking further ahead, sell-side analysts expect revenue to grow 10.5% over the next 12 months, an improvement versus the last two years. This projection is healthy and indicates its newer products and services will spur better top-line performance.

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Operating Margin

Keysight has been a well-oiled machine over the last five years. It demonstrated elite profitability for an industrials business, boasting an average operating margin of 20.7%. This result isn’t surprising as its high gross margin gives it a favorable starting point.

Analyzing the trend in its profitability, Keysight’s operating margin decreased by 6.8 percentage points over the last five years. This raises questions about the company’s expense base because its revenue growth should have given it leverage on its fixed costs, resulting in better economies of scale and profitability.

Keysight Trailing 12-Month Operating Margin (GAAP)

In Q4, Keysight generated an operating margin profit margin of 15.5%, down 1.3 percentage points year on year. Since Keysight’s operating margin decreased more than its gross margin, we can assume it was less efficient because expenses such as marketing, R&D, and administrative overhead increased.

Earnings Per Share

Revenue trends explain a company’s historical growth, but the long-term change in earnings per share (EPS) points to the profitability of that growth – for example, a company could inflate its sales through excessive spending on advertising and promotions.

Keysight’s EPS grew at a decent 8.4% compounded annual growth rate over the last five years, higher than its 5.7% annualized revenue growth. However, this alone doesn’t tell us much about its business quality because its operating margin didn’t improve.

Keysight Trailing 12-Month EPS (Non-GAAP)

Diving into the nuances of Keysight’s earnings can give us a better understanding of its performance. A five-year view shows that Keysight has repurchased its stock, shrinking its share count by 8%. This tells us its EPS outperformed its revenue not because of increased operational efficiency but financial engineering, as buybacks boost per share earnings. Keysight Diluted Shares Outstanding

Like with revenue, we analyze EPS over a more recent period because it can provide insight into an emerging theme or development for the business.

For Keysight, its two-year annual EPS declines of 2.7% mark a reversal from its five-year trend. We hope Keysight can return to earnings growth in the future.

In Q4, Keysight reported adjusted EPS of $2.17, up from $1.82 in the same quarter last year. This print beat analysts’ estimates by 8.8%. Over the next 12 months, Wall Street expects Keysight’s full-year EPS of $7.50 to grow 11.9%.

Key Takeaways from Keysight’s Q4 Results

We were impressed by Keysight’s optimistic EPS guidance for next quarter, which blew past analysts’ expectations. We were also excited its revenue outperformed Wall Street’s estimates by a wide margin. Zooming out, we think this was a good print with some key areas of upside. The stock traded up 13.9% to $277.96 immediately after reporting.

Indeed, Keysight had a rock-solid quarterly earnings result, but is this stock a good investment here? When making that decision, it’s important to consider its valuation, business qualities, as well as what has happened in the latest quarter. We cover that in our actionable full research report which you can read here (it’s free).

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