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CVLT Q4 Deep Dive: SaaS Shift and Deal Dynamics Shape Market Reaction

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Data protection software company Commvault (NASDAQ: CVLT) reported Q4 CY2025 results topping the market’s revenue expectations, with sales up 19.5% year on year to $313.8 million. The company expects next quarter’s revenue to be around $306.5 million, close to analysts’ estimates. Its non-GAAP profit of $1.17 per share was 19.2% above analysts’ consensus estimates.

Is now the time to buy CVLT? Find out in our full research report (it’s free for active Edge members).

Commvault (CVLT) Q4 CY2025 Highlights:

  • Revenue: $313.8 million vs analyst estimates of $299.1 million (19.5% year-on-year growth, 4.9% beat)
  • Adjusted EPS: $1.17 vs analyst estimates of $0.98 (19.2% beat)
  • Adjusted Operating Income: $61.46 million vs analyst estimates of $55.71 million (19.6% margin, 10.3% beat)
  • Revenue Guidance for Q1 CY2026 is $306.5 million at the midpoint, roughly in line with what analysts were expecting
  • Operating Margin: 6.3%, up from 5.2% in the same quarter last year
  • Annual Recurring Revenue: $1.08 billion vs analyst estimates of $1.08 billion (21.9% year-on-year growth, in line)
  • Billings: $371.2 million at quarter end, up 24.7% year on year
  • Market Capitalization: $3.93 billion

StockStory’s Take

Commvault’s latest quarter was marked by strong top-line growth and a notable shift toward SaaS-based customer acquisitions, yet the market reacted sharply negative. Management attributed the quarter’s results to record additions of new subscription customers and continued expansion of its cloud and identity resilience offerings. CEO Sanjay Mirchandani emphasized the company’s best-ever term software new customer quarter and robust cloud-native adoption, particularly for products like Clumio. However, CFO Daniel Abrahamson acknowledged that a higher mix of SaaS deals, landed at lower average selling prices, diluted annual recurring revenue (ARR) growth compared to prior quarters. Management cited the impact of elongated deal durations in large enterprise accounts as another factor influencing ARR performance.

For the upcoming quarter, Commvault’s outlook centers on accelerating adoption of its Unity platform and deeper integration of AI-driven cyber resilience capabilities. Management believes that the continued increase in new SaaS customers, combined with growing enterprise cross-sell and ongoing product innovation, will help support subscription ARR growth. Mirchandani stated, “Our Commvault Cloud Unity platform is ideally suited to help customers address evolving AI requirements.” The company also expects further momentum from recent partnerships and product launches, but noted that the mix shift toward SaaS and variability in deal types could introduce some near-term fluctuations in key metrics.

Key Insights from Management’s Remarks

Management attributed Q4’s performance to a rapid increase in SaaS customer wins, strong enterprise deal activity, and the launch of new cyber resilience features, while also acknowledging changes in deal duration and ARR mix.

  • SaaS adoption accelerates: The company saw its second-highest quarter for SaaS customer additions, with over 700 new subscription customers, reflecting a growing preference for cloud-based offerings and AI-driven security features among enterprise clients.
  • Unity platform launch: Commvault launched the Unity platform, combining data security, identity resilience, and cyber recovery under a single control plane. Management highlighted early positive feedback and expects the platform to be a catalyst for customer cross-sell and simplified hybrid cloud deployments.
  • Large enterprise deal momentum: There was a notable uptick in large-term software deals, particularly multi-year agreements with enterprise customers. This led to longer deal durations, which, while positive for customer retention, diluted ARR growth for the quarter.
  • Identity resilience traction: The identity resilience portfolio, including Active Directory protection, gained significant traction and now constitutes a major component of SaaS ARR, with hundreds of customers adopting these capabilities in Q4.
  • Cost optimization and investment: The company initiated a cost optimization program to realign resources and support future growth, clarifying that cuts were broad-based rather than concentrated in R&D, and aimed at strengthening operational focus without impacting development priorities.

Drivers of Future Performance

Commvault’s outlook is shaped by the rising proportion of SaaS business, customer adoption of the Unity platform, and ongoing investment in cyber resilience.

  • Unity platform expansion: Management expects growing adoption of the Unity platform to drive SaaS ARR growth, as its unified approach to data security and recovery appeals to organizations with complex hybrid and multi-cloud needs. Early customer feedback indicates that the platform’s AI capabilities could accelerate cross-sell opportunities and reduce sales cycles over time.
  • Mix shift toward SaaS: The company anticipates that an increasing proportion of net new ARR will continue to come from SaaS, which typically lands at lower average selling prices but offers greater long-term cross-sell potential. This mix shift may initially moderate headline ARR growth, but management believes it improves customer lifetime value and retention.
  • Operational efficiency initiatives: Cost optimization efforts are expected to support non-GAAP operating margin expansion, even as Commvault maintains investment in product development and go-to-market enablement. Management highlighted disciplined discounting and a focus on aligning resources with strategic priorities as key to balancing growth and profitability.

Catalysts in Upcoming Quarters

In the coming quarters, our team will closely monitor (1) Unity platform adoption rates and resulting cross-sell success, (2) the trajectory of SaaS ARR growth and its impact on overall recurring revenue, and (3) the effectiveness of recent cost optimization efforts on operating margins. Progress in integrating new cyber resilience features and customer feedback on hybrid cloud deployments will also be important indicators.

Commvault currently trades at $89.26, down from $129.36 just before the earnings. In the wake of this quarter, is it a buy or sell? The answer lies in our full research report (it’s free).

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