The stocks in this article are all trading near their 52-week highs. This strength often reflects positive developments such as new product launches, favorable industry trends, or improved financial performance.
However, not all companies with momentum are long-term winners, and many investors have lost money by following short-term trends. All that said, here are three stocks that are likely overheated and some you should look into instead.
Applied Industrial (AIT)
One-Month Return: +0.6%
Formerly called The Ohio Ball Bearing Company, Applied Industrial (NYSE: AIT) distributes industrial products–everything from power tools to industrial valves–and services to a wide variety of industries.
Why Is AIT Not Exciting?
- Core business is underperforming as its organic revenue has disappointed over the past two years, suggesting it might need acquisitions to stimulate growth
- Projected sales growth of 6.2% for the next 12 months suggests sluggish demand
- Earnings growth over the last two years fell short of the peer group average as its EPS only increased by 7% annually
Applied Industrial is trading at $261.72 per share, or 24.6x forward P/E. To fully understand why you should be careful with AIT, check out our full research report (it’s free).
Oshkosh (OSK)
One-Month Return: +14.4%
Oshkosh (NYSE: OSK) manufactures specialty vehicles for the defense, fire, emergency, and commercial industry, operating various brand subsidiaries within each industry.
Why Are We Hesitant About OSK?
- Sales pipeline suggests its future revenue growth may not meet our standards as its average backlog growth of 1.3% for the past two years was weak
- High input costs result in an inferior gross margin of 16.4% that must be offset through higher volumes
- 7.3 percentage point decline in its free cash flow margin over the last five years reflects the company’s increased investments to defend its market position
Oshkosh’s stock price of $140.28 implies a valuation ratio of 12.5x forward P/E. Read our free research report to see why you should think twice about including OSK in your portfolio.
Seacoast Banking (SBCF)
One-Month Return: -0.3%
Founded during the Florida land boom of 1926 and surviving the Great Depression, Seacoast Banking Corporation of Florida (NASDAQ: SBCF) is a financial holding company that provides commercial and retail banking, wealth management, and mortgage services throughout Florida.
Why Are We Wary of SBCF?
- Sales trends were unexciting over the last two years as its 1% annual growth was below the typical banking company
- Annual tangible book value per share growth of 2.8% over the last five years was below our standards for the banking sector
- Estimated tangible book value per share decline of 7% for the next 12 months implies a challenging profitability environment
At $28.96 per share, Seacoast Banking trades at 1x forward P/B. To fully understand why you should be careful with SBCF, check out our full research report (it’s free).
High-Quality Stocks for All Market Conditions
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