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Stanley Black & Decker’s Q2 Earnings Call: Our Top 5 Analyst Questions

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Stanley Black & Decker’s second quarter results were met with a significant negative market reaction, reflecting disappointment around revenue performance and ongoing margin pressures. Management cited a slow outdoor buying season and disruptions tied to customer responses to new tariffs as key contributors to the sales decline. CEO Don Allan, in his final call before transitioning to Executive Chair, acknowledged the “dynamic operating environment” and emphasized the company’s continued focus on supply chain transformation and cost structure improvements. Notably, while DEWALT brand sales remained resilient, overall margins were pressured by tariff costs and lower volumes.

Is now the time to buy SWK? Find out in our full research report (it’s free).

Stanley Black & Decker (SWK) Q2 CY2025 Highlights:

  • Revenue: $3.95 billion vs analyst estimates of $4.01 billion (2% year-on-year decline, 1.7% miss)
  • Adjusted EPS: $1.08 vs analyst estimates of $0.42 (significant beat)
  • Adjusted EBITDA: $320 million vs analyst estimates of $313.6 million (8.1% margin, 2% beat)
  • Adjusted EPS guidance for the full year is $4.65 at the midpoint, beating analyst estimates by 3.7%
  • Operating Margin: 4.9%, down from 7.8% in the same quarter last year
  • Organic Revenue fell 3% year on year vs analyst estimates of flat growth (310.6 basis point miss)
  • Market Capitalization: $11.06 billion

While we enjoy listening to the management's commentary, our favorite part of earnings calls are the analyst questions. Those are unscripted and can often highlight topics that management teams would rather avoid or topics where the answer is complicated. Here is what has caught our attention.

Our Top 5 Analyst Questions From Stanley Black & Decker’s Q2 Earnings Call

  • Julian C.H. Mitchell (Barclays): Sought clarification on gross margin trajectory into Q4 and next year. CFO Pat Hallinan said gross margin expansion in the second half will be driven by tariff mitigation and pricing, not volume leverage, with the company still targeting 35% long term.
  • Michael Jason Rehaut (JPMorgan): Asked why Q2 operational upside did not translate to higher full-year guidance. Hallinan explained the Q2 beat was mostly tax timing and lower-than-expected tariff expense, which will balance out in the second half as mitigation costs rise.
  • Timothy Ronald Wojs (Baird): Queried about the acceptance and elasticity of price increases. COO Chris Nelson described the first price round as fully implemented and well-received, with a one-for-one price-to-volume trade-off and a more modest second increase planned for early Q4.
  • Nigel Edward Coe (Wolfe Research): Questioned supply chain localization and USMCA compliance progress. Nelson detailed ongoing efforts to localize supply and align with industry norms, while Hallinan quantified evolving tariff costs and mitigation timing.
  • Christopher M. Snyder (Morgan Stanley): Inquired about inventory dynamics and potential destocking. Nelson assured channel inventories are healthy and recent volatility was tied to shifting promotional schedules, not structural destocking.

Catalysts in Upcoming Quarters

In the coming quarters, the StockStory team will be watching (1) the effectiveness of additional supply chain localization and tariff mitigation actions, (2) the pace and magnitude of margin recovery as new pricing and cost savings take hold, and (3) stabilization or improvement in DIY and outdoor demand trends. Execution on leadership transition and innovation rollouts, especially within the DEWALT and CRAFTSMAN brands, will also be critical markers of progress.

Stanley Black & Decker currently trades at $71.28, down from $73.93 just before the earnings. In the wake of this quarter, is it a buy or sell? Find out in our full research report (it’s free).

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